Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013 0.000015
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000015 0.000019
2025-01-05 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000014 0.000018 0.000026
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000036
2025-02-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000026 0.000045
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000017 0.000029 0.000052
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000032 0.000062
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000019 0.000035 0.000073
2025-03-02 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000019 0.000038 0.000083
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000020 0.000040 0.000094
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000021 0.000045 0.000111
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000049 0.000132
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000022 0.000051 0.000147
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000022 0.000055 0.000168
2025-04-13 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000023 0.000058 0.000189
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000024 0.000063 0.000222
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000026 0.000073 0.000277
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000027 0.000079 0.000324
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000028 0.000087 0.000387
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000029 0.000094 0.000453
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000011 0.000029 0.000099 0.000511